In “Dr. Strangelove,” the Bland Corp. is cited producing a study concluding a Soviet Doomsday Machine was “not a practical deterrent.” Just before the world gets blown up.
I always think of that when the Rand Corp. comes up. The movie was mocking the think tank. You know the Bland/Rand guys are smart because it’s located in the People’s Republic of Santa Monica instead of that particular corner of hell called Washington, D.C. The PRCM might be a socialist appendage of the People’s Socialist Democratic Republic of California, but at least it has great weather.
I bring this up because Bland/Rand just published a study showing the Ukraine War isn’t going to plan, and keeping it going will hurt the USA. As I have been saying for almost a year on this site.
It’s called “Avoiding a Long War: U.S. Policy and the Trajectory of the Russia-Ukraine Conflict,” by Samuel Charap and Miranda Priebe. This is important because it will be read by the top policy bureaucrats in D.C., as well is in the NATO puppet nations in Europe.
From the executive summary:
The authors argue that, in addition to minimizing the risks of major escalation, U.S. interests would be best served by avoiding a protracted conflict. The costs and risks of a long war in Ukraine are significant and outweigh the possible benefits of such a trajectory for the United States. Although Washington cannot by itself determine the war's duration, it can take steps that make an eventual negotiated end to the conflict more likely.
So, how might it end? This is the key part:
Drawing on the literature on war termination, the authors identify key impediments to Russia-Ukraine talks, such as mutual optimism about the future of the war and mutual pessimism about the implications of peace. The Perspective highlights four policy instruments the United States could use to mitigate these impediments: clarifying plans for future support to Ukraine, making commitments to Ukraine's security, issuing assurances regarding the country's neutrality, and setting conditions for sanctions relief for Russia.
Let’s look at these four:
1. “Clarifying plans for future support to Ukraine.” U.S. actions have escalated recently. Every Ukraine setback – and they’re losing, not winning, despite what CNN says – Bland/Rand seems to be saying, leads to newer and stronger U.S. weapons shipments. That’s not helpful.
2. “Making commitments to Ukraine's security.” This is a pro forma statement of sticking with the current regime in Kiyv/Kiev.
3. “Issuing assurances regarding the country's neutrality.” This has been the problem all along, hasn’t it? I’ve been saying not just for the past year, but in writing about Ukraine for several years, it needs to be a neutral country, and only a neutral country.
4. “Setting conditions for sanctions relief for Russia.” The sanctions were supposed to bankrupt and break up Russia. The opposite happened. Russia survived the sanctions shock, and is working with China-India-Iran-Brazil-Saudi-Etc. to set up an alternative global banking system, independent of the U.S. dollar-dominated existing system. “Sanctions relief” would help Europe more than Russia by restoring cheaper energy from the Urals.
The text of the Bland/Rand study concludes:
In short, the consequences of a long war – ranging from persistent elevated escalation risks to economic damage – far outweigh the possible benefits.
Meanwhile, Russia keeps grinding through its attacks on Bakhmut and other cities, preparing for a major offensive maybe this summer. Moscow also is increasing its military force 50 percent. Not just Putin – the Western idiot media likes to personify an enemy – but his collective leadership has decided they will be the ones who end the war, on their terms.
The U.S./NATO puppets/West, by contrast, were not prepared for a long war, as Bland/Rand has concluded. The U.S. shipped much of its manufacturing capacity, the sort that makes artillery shells, the key weapons of this war, to China; which is Russia’s ally.
Do you get the impression America is run by fools? In case you have another opinion, here’s Biden stumbling through his announcement of sending 31 Abrams tanks – which will have no effect. He obviously is incapable of speaking even one coherent sentence, let alone run a highly complex government that’s conducting the biggest global war since World War II.
Watch it all and feel the horror in your bones.
John, John, John...
You cannot reason with these people.
Exhibit One: "Gentlemen, You Can’t Fight In Here! This is The War Room!!!!”