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I never liked Henry Kissinger when he worked for Nixon and Ford, or his continued meddling since. He was too soft on the Soviets and the ChiComs. But he is the patriarch of the “realist” school, which tries to make deals. And that’s just what he said at the Davos globalist confab ought to be done with the Ukraine War. Amazingly, he’s 98.
He just said Ukraine must cede territory to Russia. The response from Dmytro Kuleba, Ukraine’s foreign minister, to CNBC: “I respect Henry Kissinger, but I appreciate that he’s not holding any official position in the U.S. administration, he has his own opinion, but we strongly disagree with it…. This is not something we’re going to do.”
But Ukraine’s government is a puppet regime held up by the United States. All their salaries are paid by that $40 billion U.S. taxpayers just shoveled over — minus the 10% for “the Big Guy” (you know who) and the usual graft to defense contractors, etc. The “pad,” as they say in the Mafia, is big.
A few days earlier the New York Times published a long editorial, “The War in Ukraine Is Getting Complicated, and America Isn’t Ready.” It also said Ukraine should cede some territory. Which was a major change from its three months of saying Ukraine was winning.
The Ukraine Independent blasted back, “The U.S. must understand the futility and stop “taunting” Russia, the editorial says. Meaning: Ukraine will lose anyway, stop helping it so it’s over faster.
“In short, the editorial attempts to pass off appeasement and betrayal of the free world’s values as pragmatic reasoning.”
Sorry, but the NYT determines global opinion, which clearly is turning toward ending this war. The recent vote on the $40 billion vig for the war attracted opposition from 11 Republicans in the Senate and 57 in the House. These are their most conservative members. If conservatives aren’t going to support a war, then it’s over. What, are Pelosi and AOC going to to pick up M-16s and march to the Donbas?
Speaking of which, the Russians are forming “cauldrons” in the Donbas, a classic tactic that will force the Ukranian troops there to surrender or be killed by massive artillery fire. The same as in Mariupol earlier this month. Except this time few of those fighting in the Donbas for Ukraine are the fanatical Nazis of the Azov Battallion and other groups the Biden regime has been supporting.
Even Democrats are realizing those setting this policy, mainly Blinken, Nuland and Sullivan, are no Kissingers, but grad-school amateurs. Biden just staggers around, sounding off on policies quickly generating corrections from the sentient members of his team. The latest was saying America would defend Taiwan, upsetting the “strategic ambiguity” Kissinger and Nixon set up 50 years ago, when everyone agreed there was One China, but nothing could be done about the split between Beijing and Taipei.
In technical diplomatic parlance, “strategic ambiguity” means: “We’re all going to lie to one another, and to the world, about what’s really going on, so we don’t get into a nuclear war that would kill millions.”
That was the “Nixon goes to China” moment that’s become a cliche even in popular culture, such as in “Star Trek VI: The Undiscovered Country”:
It derives from Nixon, a hard-core anti-communist throughout his career, being the only one who could break the ice with Maoist China to use it as a counter to the Soviet Union.
As I’ve said many times about Russia in my six years writing for Fleming.Foundation, the nuclear powers have got to get along, especially Moscow and Washington. They have 6,000 nuclear weapons, we have about 6,000. There’s no other choice.
This war never should have happened. Russia wanted: Ukraine never joins NATO but remains neutral. The Donbas is autonomous. The Nazi forces are disbanded. All that now is happening — by force of arms, with parts of Ukraine dismembered and tens of thousands of Ukrainians and Russians dead, with the world economy upset and possibly millions of people starving.
I’ve been writing on this inevitable result since the war started,. Contrast it to those clownish ex-generals on CNN, Fox News, MSNBC and the other networks. They’re all losers from the Afghanistan and Iraq wars. Why did anybody listen to them?
This also is Great Power Politics, something Kissinger wrote about in his early academic career. The Great Powers change somewhat over the centuries. But today, it means the USA, China, Russia and India — the four greatest powers now — must get along. That means one Great Power doesn’t mess with another Great Power’s periphery, in this case Ukriane. In 1962, it was Cuba during the Missile Crisis, where the Soviet Union/Russia was forced to pull back. Taiwan I already covered.
The middling powers either remain neutral, or hook up with one of the major powers. But they have to be careful. We’ve seen the past three months how the EU/NATO is just a U.S. puppet. So is Japan.
But we’ve also seen how almost all of Latin America, Africa and Asia just want to remain neutral, getting Russian energy if they need it, and the same goodies from China that stuff Walmart shelves.
America’s role should be as an honest broker among the various global interests. Unfortunately, the Neocons took over in the 1990s after the Cold War and said America was the new “unipower” that could straighten out the entire world. Hence, the American attacks on Serbia, Somalia, Iraq, Syria, Afghanistan and so many others I’m to tired to list them. These all turned into disaster.
Trump was trying to advance a more realistic policy, albeit imperfectly, but the Neocons trashed him as “isolationist.” And now look at what we have.